No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Polymarket Trader
0xB264dd058a284bED6bD77E00a5AeAd504Cb0da49-1780418257751
0xb264dd058a284bed6bd77e00a5aead504cb0da49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.24
- Realized PnL
- $0.9
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $18.63
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $18.63
- Potential profit
- $16.09
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $7.13
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 18.63 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 18.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No 10% 9.09 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 84.2% 7.13 shares