Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $116.5
- Potential payout
- $896.12
- Potential profit
- $779.62
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$179.82
Polymarket Trader
truetreeoflifestudent
0xb2755157774138346b3a19df1accf8912c8f97e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $681.84
- Realized PnL
- $205.02
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $552.48
- Potential payout
- $574
- Potential profit
- $21.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $248.38
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $286
- Potential profit
- $273.13
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.9
- Potential profit
- $45.9
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.49
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.93
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.42
Carlos Prates position
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.52
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.2
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.38x
- User PnL
- -$25.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No 30.6% 676.41 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 10% 6.12 shares
- Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No 10% 6.31 shares
- Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets 40% 25 shares
- Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors 48% 20.83 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 99.2% 216.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes 18% 110 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 10.5% 231 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 14% 280 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 10% 49.98 shares