Polymarket Trader

0xb280a86A208F25Bb1Db7531805F6F63b0cc0Daef-1766492742042

0xb280a86a208f25bb1db7531805f6f63b0cc0daef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.7
Realized PnL: $772.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $3.21
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.92
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $2.87
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 59.9%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $2.6
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 14?

No 61% 2.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?

No 60% 2.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 13?

No 69% 2.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 13?

No 70% 2.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 13?

No 74% 1.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 13?

No 70% 2.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 13?

No 61% 2.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?

No 64% 2.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 13?

No 62% 2.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?

No 70% 2.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?

No 56% 3.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?

No 65% 2.55 shares