Polymarket Trader

seba15

@sebastian06237

0xb28610e7638619232fc773e6f126f560ab95aac7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.68
Realized PnL: $710.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $966.2
Potential profit: $966.2
User PnL: -$80.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.43
Potential profit: $517.43
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.99
Potential profit: $494.99
User PnL: -$8.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.68
Potential profit: $322.68
User PnL: -$236.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.7
Potential profit: $312.7
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.03
Potential profit: $238.03
User PnL: -$147.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.75
Potential profit: $191.75
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.46
Potential profit: $160.46
User PnL: -$77.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.8
Potential profit: $118.8
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.5
Potential profit: $96.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.71
Potential profit: $87.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $71.32
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $41.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $66.36
Potential payout: $66.39
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.98
Potential profit: $64.98
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$0.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.96

Jiri Lehecka position

Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

No 58% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 19?

No 42% 71.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 19?

No 90.4% 66.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 18?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

No 14% 35.71 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 0.2% 18.51 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

No 99.9% 99.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?

No 3% 33.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?

No 9% 33.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

No 39.9% 5.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

No 39.7% 8 shares