Polymarket Trader

trenchesgirlcap

0xb28a8d45669aba69eab824afd641ea41e5bf6d4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $495.17
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $335
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.67K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $215

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on August 17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11.88

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $999.96
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.92
Potential profit: $999.92
User PnL: -$22.99

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $106.66
Potential payout: $983
Potential profit: $876.34
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $72.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $11.31
Potential payout: $904.99
Potential profit: $893.68
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$39.09

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $837
Potential profit: $824.86
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.2
Potential payout: $774.48
Potential profit: $768.28
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$6.2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $670
Potential profit: $665.31
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$35.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.19

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.36

No position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.12

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.78

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.9

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.29

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.5

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.39

No position

Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.97

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.91

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.15

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.8

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5

Over 3.6% 500 shares
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 6.5

Over 3.4% 483 shares
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 774.48 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 5.5% 328.7 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5

Over 41.1% 166.99 shares
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 3.9% 328.7 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5

Under 10% 67 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 10?

Yes 5% 105.2 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 670 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 670 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 10,000 shares