Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.94K
- User PnL
- -$166.89
Polymarket Trader
JetskiJay
0xb294db917d56382c1b5438e5e2a01c82ebc1ab90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $584.58
- Realized PnL
- $113.53
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615.56
- Potential profit
- $615.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $411.29
- Potential profit
- $411.29
- User PnL
- -$114.82
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.17
- Potential profit
- $409.17
- User PnL
- -$97.77
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.29
- Potential profit
- $347.29
- User PnL
- -$204.9
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.99
- Potential profit
- $309.99
- User PnL
- -$47.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $247
- Potential payout
- $264.17
- Potential profit
- $17.17
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $83.21
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $159.33
- Potential payout
- $247.03
- Potential profit
- $87.7
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$40.67
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$148
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $178.25
- Potential payout
- $194.81
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $28.25
No position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.85
- Potential profit
- $110.85
- User PnL
- -$37.26
No position
Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$41.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.73
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.57
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.16
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.82
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes 29% 44.58 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down 64% 5 shares
- Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 62% 64.2 shares
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 15.2% 100 shares
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 15.2% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 70% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 70% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 70% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 70% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 69% 10 shares
- Trump declares a national emergency by March 31, 2026?No 69% 10 shares