Polymarket Trader

theOceanMoon

0xb2b759a258da5b8b60174b43fe6b7b9120bc2f70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $311.75
Realized PnL: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $53
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $15

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $93.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $56.25
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$102.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.06

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.36

Yes position

Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Gukesh position

World Chess Championship 2024 Winner

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.71

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.28

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Hurricanes position

Islanders vs. Hurricanes

Ends Dec 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Trump orders U.S. prisoners to El Salvador before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Liverpool position

Carabao Cup: Southampton vs. Liverpool

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.66

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

No position

Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Ethereum all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Game 10 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 65% 100 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

No 83% 100 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

No 93% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 111 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 52% 10 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 47% 100 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 69% 100 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 78% 25 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 40,000 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

No 45% 1 shares