Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$558
Polymarket Trader
IceFrosst
@IceFrosst
0xb2ca88cd9c431a0f1223029088beb0cf4f035fb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.79K
- Realized PnL
- $40.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $42.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $107.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $649.92
- Potential payout
- $669.67
- Potential profit
- $19.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $47.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $72.5
Yes position
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$345
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $444.32
- Potential payout
- $465.99
- Potential profit
- $21.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $430
- User PnL
- -$7.22
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.8%
- Current value
- $277.14
- Potential payout
- $409.07
- Potential profit
- $131.93
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$88.51
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $105.4
- Potential payout
- $343.33
- Potential profit
- $237.93
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- -$179.6
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$147.99
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $126
- Potential payout
- $173.79
- Potential profit
- $47.79
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $93.71
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $134.6
- Potential payout
- $165.17
- Potential profit
- $30.57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $33.1
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $148.13
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?
Ends May 9, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $83.17
- Potential payout
- $126.02
- Potential profit
- $42.85
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.9
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $84.6
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $35.4
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $102.31
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.34K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $990.18
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $968.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $964.66
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.84
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.85
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $722.57
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $714.64
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $705.59
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.67
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.86
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.39
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.28
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $499.52
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 52% 80 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 51.1% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.7% 150 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 99.7% 150 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 59.1% 47.36 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 71% 98.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 600 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.6% 145.07 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 96.5% 145.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 83% 343.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.1% 378.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.2% 34.03 shares