Polymarket Trader

0xB2CA95DDcb43Adaeb2BF7e6e7D1Dfce7e522CF4D-1782111440106

0xb2ca95ddcb43adaeb2bf7e6e7d1dfce7e522cf4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.02
Realized PnL: $13.92
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $20.47
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $44.52
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $46.98
Potential profit: $46.01
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $19.76
Potential payout: $34.98
Potential profit: $15.22
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $32.99
Potential profit: $32.28
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $32.06
Potential profit: $28.54
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $28.7
Potential profit: $26.69
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.7
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.63
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.15
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.49
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.89

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.23
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.06
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.74
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $24.98
Potential profit: $20.16
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $20.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.55
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.02
Multiplier: 6.71x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.84
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.1%
Current value: $14.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.09
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.9
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Idaho in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.7%
Multiplier: 3.49x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes 37% 5 shares
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 21% 5 shares
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

No 98.9% 5 shares