Polymarket Trader

crystalfalls

0xb2d62e284ac9f13f09dcdd8accab61bfdd7af3bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $106.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$239.01

Yes position

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$381.71

Yes position

Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$476.11

Yes position

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
User PnL: -$167.02

Yes position

Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$164.5

Yes position

Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$92.95

Yes position

Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$150.92

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$109

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$237.5

Yes position

Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.86
Potential profit: $326.86
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$237

No position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$78.2

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.59
Potential profit: $120.59
User PnL: -$5.07

No position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.07
Potential profit: $75.07
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Luigi Mangione plea deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58
Potential profit: $1.58
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.27K

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12K

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03K

No position

Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01K

Yes position

Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Yes position

Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?

Ends Sep 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6, 2023?

Ends Jan 6, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1526430.04x
User PnL: $4.21K

Yes position

Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?

Ends May 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?

Ends Oct 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Warriors position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3?

Ends Jun 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 3005207.98x
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022?

Ends May 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA?

Ends May 9, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Celtics position

2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2?

Ends Jun 5, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1517523.87x
User PnL: $1.52K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7.5% 64.09 shares
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Yes 2.8% 400 shares
Will Steve Ballmer buy the Seattle Seahawks?

No 55.6% 21.75 shares
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?

No 37.7% 6.92 shares
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 99% 2.15 shares
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 96.7% 2.16 shares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 88% 2.15 shares
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7.7% 215.18 shares
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.5% 512.9 shares
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,345.2 shares
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.8% 1,102.21 shares
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.8% 297.85 shares