Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.9K
- Potential profit
- $75.9K
- User PnL
- -$19K
Polymarket Trader
0xb2d7...312c
0xb2d7cebe60e8e667b177993e382ff3b95b81312c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $291.62K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.51K
- Potential profit
- $41.51K
- User PnL
- -$16.97K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.15K
- Potential profit
- $40.15K
- User PnL
- -$8.61K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.88K
- Potential profit
- $29.88K
- User PnL
- -$10.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.4K
- Potential profit
- $28.4K
- User PnL
- -$15K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.33K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.65K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.88K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$689.43
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$10.41K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.1% 109,790.77 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 48% 5.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.1% 109,790.78 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 18.3% 85,408.96 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 20.1% 66,479.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 21% 4,757.6 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 41.9% 21,568.67 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 48% 69,158.01 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 214,955.8 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52.1% 214,955.81 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 82% 5,427.54 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50.2% 47,759.39 shares