Polymarket Trader

Aragornn

0xb2e5457a7cef2e970be89d926c8f03e4aaaded30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.77K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.38K

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$389.99

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$560

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$846.3

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$595

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$760

BIG position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840
Potential profit: $840
User PnL: -$512.4

EDward Gaming position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$56

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$322

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.5
Potential profit: $661.5
User PnL: -$423.36

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$120

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$419.99

9z position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $408
User PnL: -$110.16

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $395
User PnL: -$142.2

Yes position

Will Matthew Greiner (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197
Potential profit: $197
User PnL: -$1.97

Nuggets position

Thunder vs. Nuggets

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149
Potential profit: $149
User PnL: -$43.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.12
Potential profit: $116.12
User PnL: -$5.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.13
Potential profit: $103.13
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.6

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.8

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

JD Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Dplus KIA position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.23

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Solana above $190 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

Bucks position

Magic vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $10.5

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Ends Jan 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Chiefs position

Texans vs. Chiefs

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Nets

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Solana above $215 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 75% 701 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 27% 38 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

9z 27% 370 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 24% 200 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 24% 100 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 24% 200 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 64% 181.5 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 64% 120 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 64% 160 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 64% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

TheMongolz 61% 60 shares