Polymarket Trader

czazm

0xb2ef60b4731593440cdf2b02218e8a5d6fb33843

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $628.21
Realized PnL: $3.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $95.09
Potential payout: $292.58
Potential profit: $197.49
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$12.91

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $56.1
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $163.9
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $204.27
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $146.15
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $11.98
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $72.76
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $72.33
Potential payout: $75.04
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $22.33

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9.61
Potential payout: $71.2
Potential profit: $61.59
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82.4%
Current value: $56.95
Potential payout: $69.16
Potential profit: $12.21
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $11.82
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $55.74
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$38.18

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $58.52
Potential payout: $59.38
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $56.74
Potential payout: $57.98
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $57.39
Potential profit: $51.94
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$30.55

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $14.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.25
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $36.59
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $43.97
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $35.89
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $28.96
Potential payout: $34.69
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $21.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $11.83

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $25.63
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $10.73
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $15.51
Potential payout: $17.05
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $11.65
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.14

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.75

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.04

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.69

No position

US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.93

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.88

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.35

No position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.98

No position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.91

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.67

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.99

No position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.15

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 83% 27.71 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 88% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?

Yes 4.1% 123.67 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?

Yes 4.5% 1.86 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 212 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 4% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 8% 12.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 82% 48.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 33% 12.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Down 32% 14.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Up 66% 45.45 shares