Polymarket Trader

gambler-666

0xb2ef91409df27ba0f582284f23f7b47d00ed90e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02K
Realized PnL: $7.69K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15.58
Potential payout: $10.39K
Potential profit: $10.37K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$139.41

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.56K
Potential profit: $9.56K
User PnL: -$99.99

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $192.88
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $4.45K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$188.11

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$22.16

Yes position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $62.48
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $978.9
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$45.52

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984.67
Potential profit: $984.67
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $78.8
Potential payout: $630.38
Potential profit: $551.58
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$71.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.92
Potential profit: $526.92
User PnL: -$194.96

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.15
Potential profit: $525.15
User PnL: -$68.27

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.1
Potential profit: $523.1
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $42.57
Potential payout: $500.8
Potential profit: $458.23
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$157.43

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.32
Potential profit: $450.32
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.74
Potential profit: $438.74
User PnL: -$96.88

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $222.11
Potential payout: $427.13
Potential profit: $205.02
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $22.11

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.23
Potential profit: $413.23
User PnL: -$50

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $371.92
Potential payout: $410.96
Potential profit: $39.04
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $71.92

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $341.17
Potential profit: $341.17
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $26.39
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $251.39
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$23.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.24

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.21

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.44

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.37

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.24

Yes position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.36

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

No position

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $13.13

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$27.51

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.21

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.37

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 1,045.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 73% 410.96 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Yes 3.1% 562.5 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 7.1% 305.55 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 4% 700.71 shares
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?

Yes 16.7% 299.14 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 18% 305.56 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Yes 8% 562.5 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 14% 700.71 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 39.9% 500.8 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 51% 629.41 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 99.9% 1,930.8 shares