Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $167.47
- Potential payout
- $241
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $6
Polymarket Trader
steigenberger
0xb2f510d03e46dc3195de40047e0091f503398e1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.47
- Realized PnL
- $2.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.75
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Border" or "ICE" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.16
Under position
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.52
No position
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.02
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.26
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.21
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.72
No position
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.44
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.46
No position
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.34
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.62
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
Yes position
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.23
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
No position
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 20 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 496 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 174 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 69% 740 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 68% 431 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 79% 1,171 shares
- MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?No 12% 15 shares
- MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?No 12% 126 shares
- MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?No 12% 217 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 250 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 59% 223 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 49% 690 shares