No position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$56.74
Polymarket Trader
moneymemoneynow
0xb3063cd351d2f0bcf80f7bb18d2095331f880fb9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $492.25
- Realized PnL
- $620.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $492.25
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $250.25
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.73
- Potential profit
- $449.73
- User PnL
- -$58.46
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $420
- User PnL
- -$39.06
Yes position
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.98
- Potential profit
- $399.98
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.11
- Potential profit
- $239.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.48
- Potential profit
- $191.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.18
- Potential profit
- $177.18
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.12
- Potential profit
- $172.12
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.7
- Potential profit
- $148.7
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.94
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.45
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.56
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.8
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes 99.7% 510.41 shares
- GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes 80.5% 510.41 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Yes 1.3% 300 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?No 23.2% 80 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No 37.5% 266.63 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 27, 2026?Yes 8.4% 239.11 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 26, 2026?Yes 9.8% 148.7 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 25, 2026?Yes 11.6% 172.12 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 24, 2026?Yes 10.4% 191.48 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 23, 2026?Yes 11.3% 177.18 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No 2.1% 779.55 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No 4.9% 408.48 shares