Yes position
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xb30F96feE2db63f158dE9139A1717133cDA01391-1778163263704
0xb30f96fee2db63f158de9139a1717133cda01391
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7
- Realized PnL
- $17.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Nicki Minaj finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Josh Kimbrell win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?No 99.7% 5.79 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 142.85 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 142.85 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.6% 142.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Yes 99.5% 4.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?No 99.9% 5.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?Yes 93% 4.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?No 97.5% 5.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?No 99.9% 5.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?No 99.9% 5.69 shares