Polymarket Trader

0xb315D3F3bF6a43583c8B101e7bCB8661430D92E1-1765629171417

0xb315d3f3bf6a43583c8b101e7bcb8661430d92e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.42
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $744.59
Potential profit: $744.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.59
Potential profit: $441.59
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.56
Potential profit: $383.56
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.42
Potential profit: $372.42
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.51
Potential profit: $306.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.6
Potential profit: $284.6
User PnL: -$19.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.75
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.56
Potential profit: $235.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $95.17
Potential payout: $181.27
Potential profit: $86.1
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$26.31

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.89
Potential profit: $156.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.1
Potential profit: $138.1
User PnL: -$13

No position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.93
Potential profit: $133.93
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.74
Potential profit: $101.74
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.44
Potential profit: $71.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.14
Potential profit: $42.14
User PnL: -$9.69

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $751.42

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.3

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.55

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.79

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

Yes position

Claude 4.7 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.33

Yes position

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.77

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.35

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$6.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.24

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$25.21

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 67% 181.27 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

No 91.8% 60.8 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.4% 500 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.8% 235.56 shares
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 1.9% 257 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.5% 600 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 29% 34.48 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.1% 487.59 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3.3% 306.51 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 23% 40.8 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 6.8% 273.58 shares