Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.59K
- Potential profit
- $7.59K
- User PnL
- -$109.99
Polymarket Trader
Berniebarge
0xb326a01ffd2d50899e9e7dbb3c6972774443f317
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- -$24.66
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $7.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $45.01
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- User PnL
- -$45.86
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$865.73
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$570
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465.12
- Potential profit
- $465.12
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.29
- Potential profit
- $133.29
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.02
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $73.33
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.52
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$19.08
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.25
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$27.35
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$39.57
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$247.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 31.6% 3,172.35 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 18.1% 4,196.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp 46.4% 622.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp 43% 550.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp 39.4% 768.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown 7% 123.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 55.6% 168.49 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 16.5% 365.95 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 21% 346.41 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 3.1% 2,453.96 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 26% 311.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 13% 1,176.47 shares