Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $778.69
- Potential payout
- $8.2K
- Potential profit
- $7.42K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$131.93
Polymarket Trader
apein1
0xb32da991a448deceef0486ee3c17e6a964d8882b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $778.69
- Realized PnL
- $891.99
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.38
- Potential profit
- $419.38
- User PnL
- -$62.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$184.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 13% 450 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 13% 500 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 13% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 15% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 34% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes 7% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 450 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 30% 200 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 30% 300 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 22% 450 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes 30% 200 shares