Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $668.09
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $768.66
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$150.86
Polymarket Trader
jayzzz313027598
@youlong06962141
0xb32e22790fb18528e6cdcc5577352ce849add9ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $255
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $745
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.4%
- Current value
- $146.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $53.2
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $66.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.95
- Potential payout
- $103.35
- Potential profit
- $89.4
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$50.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.9
Yes position
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.87
No position
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.78
No position
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.41
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.04
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.31
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.06
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.38
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.64
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.17
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.6
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.83
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.56
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.52
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 69% 66.31 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 8.1% 204.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 7.9% 233.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 27.3% 132.04 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 27% 55 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 27% 140 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 63.4% 184.54 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99.8% 700 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.8% 410.86 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 46% 210.87 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes 3% 73.19 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 37% 99.98 shares