No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $922.21
- Potential payout
- $954.17
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.93
Polymarket Trader
wangerxiao
0xb33a8e5f18951fa2568f5db3272cb5c64e4ab4e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $198.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $294.48
- Potential payout
- $297
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- User PnL
- $1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.35
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.99
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.35
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $145 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.8% 297 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.4% 954.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 99.7% 488 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.5% 313.14 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.4% 406 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 202 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.3% 233.81 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.6% 1,600 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 1,600 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.5% 1,600 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.2% 1,600 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 1,622.73 shares