Polymarket Trader

0xb348...6434

0xb3487b827b4feeed693a6963c1a2a8df78996434

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $28.25
Realized PnL: $3.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $10.11
User PnL: -$5.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.63
Potential profit: $5.63
User PnL: -$5.57

No position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.59
Potential profit: $5.59
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.58
User PnL: -$5.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4
Potential profit: $4.4
User PnL: -$4.36

UNLV Runnin Rebels position

UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $4.32
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $4.23
User PnL: -$4.19

No position

Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$4.07

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: -$3.67

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elaine Luria be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $3.96
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $3.91
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

National Bank of Egypt Club position

Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 98.8% 3.96 shares
Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Yes 99% 3.96 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?

No 99.9% 2.4 shares
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

No 99.9% 3.91 shares
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

No 99.9% 3.9 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?

Down 99.9% 3.91 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 99.5% 3.92 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 99.5% 3.9 shares
Will anyone say "Dream" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?

No 99.9% 3.89 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

No 97.9% 4.04 shares
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 3.96 shares
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

No 98.6% 4.03 shares