Polymarket Trader

0xb34c565e8a16e19ad1451d11B6416d5e24E28949-1782261085459

0xb34c565e8a16e19ad1451d11b6416d5e24e28949

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.98
Realized PnL: -$11.93
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $18.09
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?

Yes 33.2% 18.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 68% 7.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 61.9% 40.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 77% 6.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Down 25% 20 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 6.98 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 86% 6.98 shares

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