No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $831.01
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Polymarket Trader
MercyandGrace
0xb357437166e9dc62a8c5aef1f5a8fb78bbeca4ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.68K
- Realized PnL
- $400.93
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $395.33
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $658.88
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $419.94
- Potential payout
- $988.1
- Potential profit
- $568.15
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $19.94
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $439.33
- Potential payout
- $726.16
- Potential profit
- $286.83
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$60.67
Yes position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $443.44
- Potential payout
- $518.65
- Potential profit
- $75.2
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $43.45
NIP position
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $338.98
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.95
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.06
Team Vitality position
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.93
Stefanos Tsitsipas position
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jul 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.62
Natus Vincere position
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$232.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBetBoom Team 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 119.05 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 119.05 shares
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBetBoom Team 70% 262.86 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No 72% 694.44 shares
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsMinnesota Twins 91% 184.62 shares
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers 99.9% 969.34 shares
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers 52% 1.92 shares
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers 52% 403.69 shares
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Vitality 99.9% 215.75 shares
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaTeam Vitality 61% 215.75 shares
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaNatus Vincere 38% 361.7 shares