Polymarket Trader

wherewindsmeet16

0xb36a688c1ae41823a3c9c651679d4fce674bee04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $393.99
Realized PnL: $388.42
Win rate: 45%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $53.57
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $660.71
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$46.43

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $97.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $47.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $26.92
Potential payout: $283.33
Potential profit: $256.42
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.08

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.7
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $160.49
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.05
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.44

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.45
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.12

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.82

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.9

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $13.33

No position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.28

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$13.33

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 100 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 89% 100 shares
Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Yes 98% 100 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 50.2 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 100 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 199.99 shares
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 50% 76 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 100 shares
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 100 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 100 shares