No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $6.16K
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $136.85
Polymarket Trader
20260601
0xb36cfbf83a716c55507a81ace255480b9ed31077
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.16K
- Realized PnL
- $936.66
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.83
- Potential profit
- $899.83
- User PnL
- -$593.84
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$168
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.63
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.18
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.87
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.41
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.74
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.42
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.39
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.81
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.93
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$313.82
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$780.61
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$986.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82.2% 486.55 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 99.9% 2,932.73 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 15?Up 76% 263.17 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?Up 74.4% 134.49 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 96.7% 800 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 98% 141.17 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 85% 141.18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 15% 599.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 67% 199.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 54.6% 2,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 57.6% 2,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 78% 641.03 shares