Polymarket Trader

Steve-Haines

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.88K
Realized PnL: $18.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $3.94K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $971.5
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $104.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $895.5
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $993
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $552.26
Potential profit: $551.43
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $150.37
Potential payout: $435.97
Potential profit: $285.6
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $152.66
Potential payout: $302.31
Potential profit: $149.64
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$22.8

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $55.46
Potential payout: $257.97
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$44.54

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $207.87
Potential payout: $217.66
Potential profit: $9.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $33.65
Potential payout: $168.27
Potential profit: $134.62
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$8.41

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $140.53
Potential profit: $106.8
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $45.78
Potential profit: $24.03
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $19.39
Potential payout: $43.09
Potential profit: $23.7
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $23.96
Potential payout: $39.61
Potential profit: $15.65
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $33.37
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $22.08
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $822.33

Yes position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $524.58

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.54

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.28

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.76

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.71

No position

Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.68

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.19

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $310.03

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.83

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.73

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.73

Yes position

Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.92

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $180.79

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.1%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $173.33

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 210 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 150.96 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 2,362.4 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

Yes 36.5% 13 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 327.53 shares
Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

Yes 57% 46.22 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 23% 999.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 1,493.06 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 34% 40.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 37.7% 796.78 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 0.3% 4,294.66 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 0.3% 626.09 shares