Wwx

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $344.74
Potential profit: $333.37
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$215.31

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $285.15
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$12.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $296.25
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$57.75

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $16.94
Potential payout: $271.03
Potential profit: $254.09
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$13.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$34.13

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $244.03
Potential profit: $242.94
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.92
Potential profit: $229.92
User PnL: -$150.85

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $9.67
Potential payout: $222.88
Potential profit: $213.21
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $16.61
Potential payout: $221.42
Potential profit: $204.81
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$37.89

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $202.35
Potential profit: $195.27
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$153.74

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $198.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$55.9

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $189.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.87

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $174.77
Potential profit: $173.99
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $141.41
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$10.16

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $151.07
Potential payout: $154.16
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $113.13
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.13

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$24.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.03
Potential profit: $106.03
User PnL: -$82.8

Yes position

Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$74.7

Yes position

Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.01
Potential profit: $68.01
User PnL: -$49.24

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$18.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.9

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.46

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.17

Yes position

Will "Atrioc" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.27

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.9

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.46

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.51

Yes position

Will "Sweden" or "Swedish" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.08

Yes position

Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.08

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.12

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.69

No position

Will "Inflation" be in the headlines this week?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.04

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.26

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.63

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.94

No position

Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.81

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $44

No position

Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.2

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.81

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.16

No position

Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?