Polymarket Trader

xiao2222

@xiaoxi886

0xb38d6e52f2c77232e086c58e730d10d8b98383d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $90.65
Realized PnL: $4.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $90.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$3.35

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$11.6

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $10.4
User PnL: -$4.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $10.35
User PnL: -$5.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.33
Potential profit: $10.33
User PnL: -$5.17

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.02

Down position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.15
Potential profit: $9.15
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79
Potential profit: $3.79
User PnL: -$1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.22

Thunder position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.94

Thunder position

Suns vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.78

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 95.1% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 98% 385 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 97.7% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 97% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 96.5% 16.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 96.4% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 82% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 4% 52.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 84.9% 49.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 97.3% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

No 98.8% 29.85 shares
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

No 94% 67.56 shares