N
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $82.8
- Potential profit
- $77.33
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Polymarket Trader
0xDa1beC19dd20242f176282173272a3F7aE305140-1777270175348
0xb38f92e9fa9fda93f5ec0e7e6d4d5f98229a6f13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.46
- Realized PnL
- -$2.47
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.42
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Over position
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 7.5% 63.07 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?No 7.4% 19.73 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 48% 2.88 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 47% 3.04 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 3.69 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 48% 3.04 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes 43% 3.49 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 73% 3.42 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 56% 3.57 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 89.6% 1.13 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 85.6% 1.17 shares