Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $18.04
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Polymarket Trader
0xb39b...7aff
0xb39b35f4bd2e386d6b2f0f453b565214cd057aff
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $51.81
- Realized PnL
- $14.53
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.77
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $12.27
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $9.05
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3.74
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?No 71% 7.1 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes 69% 7.2 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 6 2026?No 51% 9.94 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.9% 6.01 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40.8% 12.27 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 25% 6.72 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 44% 3.25 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 47% 9 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 4.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 20% 6.4 shares