Polymarket Trader

Simon2727

0xb3a2b47660d1a2971069042851a087d6ad19c551

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $820.86
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.67K
Potential profit: $95.67K
User PnL: -$24.3K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.77K
Potential profit: $21.77K
User PnL: -$7.46K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.5K
Potential profit: $18.5K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.11K
Potential profit: $14.11K
User PnL: -$2.82K

Yes position

Will Trump win 1 swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.72K
Potential profit: $8.72K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $820.86
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $4.84K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.18K

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.69K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$300

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Yes 22.5% 1,330.43 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 35.3% 5,661.09 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Yes 11.8% 2,547.75 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 46.9% 4,264.2 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6.7% 2,655.88 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 20% 2,502.46 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 20% 2,500 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 19.9% 2,507.46 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 20% 2,500 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 19.9% 2,510 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 20.1% 498.13 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 20.1% 597.01 shares