Polymarket Trader

PRESET10k

0xb3b0780f2877882047a22ef99c7ea0f195fb8501

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.33K
Realized PnL: $21.88
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $98.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $901.5
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$5.5

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $257.72
Potential payout: $490.9
Potential profit: $233.18
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$2.45

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $245.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $54.45
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $73.2
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $166.8
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $67.01
Potential payout: $219.7
Potential profit: $152.69
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$40.64

Yes position

Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $210.85
Potential profit: $209.69
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$32.58

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $20.58
Potential payout: $144.52
Potential profit: $123.94
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $53.82
Potential payout: $142.56
Potential profit: $88.74
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $27.31
Potential payout: $135.53
Potential profit: $108.22
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $28.67
Potential payout: $122.01
Potential profit: $93.34
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$21.35

No position

Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $51.96
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $55.18
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$13.39

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $52.34
Potential payout: $106.81
Potential profit: $54.47
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$10.68

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verticality" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $87.92
Potential profit: $79.57
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$15.39

No position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $38.77
Potential payout: $81.62
Potential profit: $42.85
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $73.07
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$17.01

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $24.11
Potential payout: $76.53
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$8.8

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $44.53
Potential payout: $70.13
Potential profit: $25.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $46.64
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$9.46

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $40.2
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $19.8
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 7+ times during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $35.63
Potential payout: $54.4
Potential profit: $18.77
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $17.25
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $7.4
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Up 99% 51.3 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Up 99% 23.3 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 99% 9.88 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 99% 6.2 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 99% 53.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 99% 183.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 99% 305.38 shares
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Up 99% 114.48 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Up 99% 57.25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Down 99% 91.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Down 99% 183.23 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Down 99% 15 shares