No position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.16
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Polymarket Trader
Schnorrer
0xb3b2766c9a10a72368ebee459d6d5c5c0bf5da22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $15.97
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $13.83
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $13.27
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $9.91
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $8.01
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.72
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 5.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
N
No position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $7.78
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.76
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.51
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- $92.45
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.56
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $73.18
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $73.06
No position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.62
Yes position
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.4
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $60.68
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.54
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.08
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $49.43
No position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.1
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- $47.22
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.86
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.32
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.19
Yes position
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.7
No position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $39.87
Yes position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.64
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.03
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes 8% 10.51 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 26% 8 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 76.6% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 84% 6.25 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No 77.5% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 8.4% 8 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?No 77% 2.78 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.5% 2.72 shares
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No 85% 2.3 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No 55% 2.24 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 43.9% 3.79 shares
- Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?Yes 22% 4 shares