Polymarket Trader

wangwangduic

0xb3bae36aedfd7e66d7d6a782f9d01df72814f948

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.11
Realized PnL: $189.87
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $32.11
Potential payout: $34.9
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.63

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

LGD Gaming position

LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position

LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 6?

No 50% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

No 68% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 7?

Yes 24% 1.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

No 73% 3.7 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 22% 8.86 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 63% 20 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 24% 11.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Yes 29% 12.25 shares
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?

Yes 46% 1.75 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Ivory Coast vs Norway FIFA World Cup Match?

No 28% 1.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 28?

No 96.4% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 28?

No 95% 20 shares