Polymarket Trader

z45

0xb3c79f4fc823ed4f49e5467d1aca881c0a6f7778

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $591.78
Realized PnL: $224.15
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $208.05
Potential payout: $338.29
Potential profit: $130.24
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $26.45

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $181.73
Potential payout: $308.02
Potential profit: $126.29
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $25.69

No position

Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $164.19
Potential payout: $245.06
Potential profit: $80.87
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $2.31

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.93
Potential profit: $43.93
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $37.81
Potential payout: $43.52
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be 5+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $48.54

Yes position

Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.43

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $32.1

Yes position

Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.86

Yes position

Will there be 4+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.72

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.93

Yes position

Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Yes position

Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Robert Williams III play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will there be 3+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Will Deandre Ayton play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

No 59% 18.95 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Yes 57% 20 shares
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

No 59% 59.87 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Yes 59.5% 61 shares
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

No 67% 14.27 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Yes 56% 22 shares
Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Yes 50.3% 367.02 shares
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Yes 91% 170 shares
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 90.8% 25 shares
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 90.9% 11.87 shares
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

No 52.1% 259.47 shares
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

No 66% 18.67 shares