Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Polymarket Trader
qwe233
@LuaVolivia
0xb3d7d66dc60ceb9aea9f60d6fd042a50f5c43377
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.29
- Realized PnL
- $3.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $239.99
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$109
Yes position
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$93.6
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$11.75
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.67
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
N
No position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $52.28
- Potential profit
- $48.36
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$34.97
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$33.99
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.94
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.75
Heat position
Pacers vs. Heat
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.38
No position
Will Raiders vs. Panthers be the highest scoring game of Week 3?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.67
Cowboys position
Giants vs. Cowboys
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261
No position
Will Nice beat Real Sociedad?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.78
Yes position
Will Rangers beat Malmo?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.95
Commanders position
Will the Bengals beat the Commanders by 8 or more points?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.74
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.3
Aces position
WNBA: Aces vs. Storm Game 2
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.44
No position
Will the match between Lyon vs. Olympiacos end in a draw?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.24
Sun position
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 1
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.08
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Thanksgiving" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.82
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Fast Food" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.5
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.99
No position
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.46
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.75
No position
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.22
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.8
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.3
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 65% 40 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 82% 50 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 37% 78.82 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes 29% 20 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?No 35% 6.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 23?No 36% 48.4 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No 70% 15.17 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes 70% 40 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 64.1% 150 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?Yes 91% 44.8 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 35.7% 122.22 shares