Polymarket Trader

TAFM

0xb3e23d605409c38ed90ad8521759050cd1159068

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $90.47
Realized PnL: $416.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.42
Potential profit: $174.42
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $76.97
Potential payout: $98.68
Potential profit: $21.71
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $29.71
Potential profit: $24.21
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$9.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.21

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.5

Bills position

Bills vs. Patriots

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.9

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.72

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Raiders position

Chiefs vs. Raiders

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Steelers position

Dolphins vs. Steelers

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Rams position

Lions vs. Rams

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Commanders

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Bills position

Bills vs. Browns

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 52% 19.23 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 39% 128.21 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 50.5% 29.71 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 98.68 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 99% 6.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Up 4% 7.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 71.7% 6.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Up 63% 7.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Down 7% 14.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Down 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Up 98% 12.2 shares