No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $648.99
- Potential profit
- $648.99
- User PnL
- -$109.43
Polymarket Trader
0xc7be32faf0a8db934aca713a06eea44951809b25
0xb3e78ed815f70103b5f5691da64d7f3d3b155989
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.9
- Realized PnL
- $348.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.47
- Potential profit
- $245.47
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $72.02
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $62.6
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.76
- Potential profit
- $113.76
- User PnL
- -$9.29
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Yes position
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.87
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.37
- Potential profit
- $11.37
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.54
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.06
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $52.32
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 52% 134.62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 99% 72.87 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 84% 6.54 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?No 2.3% 55.9 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 18.8% 20 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 79.1% 12.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No 13.4% 245.47 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes 54% 64.17 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 35% 85.73 shares
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes 91.3% 102.67 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 18% 100 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 17% 229 shares