No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $553.84
- Potential payout
- $602
- Potential profit
- $48.16
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $54.18
Polymarket Trader
13232
0xb3f4e428b04dafa3b25d3f998ef1d23de5a44a91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $824.32
- Realized PnL
- $362.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $270.48
- Potential payout
- $588
- Potential profit
- $317.52
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $70.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.5
- Potential profit
- $257.5
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $247.07
- Potential profit
- $247.07
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.55
- Potential profit
- $237.55
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.78
- Potential profit
- $145.78
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.54
- Potential profit
- $85.54
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C or below on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.64
- Potential profit
- $83.64
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 27°C or below on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.71
- Potential profit
- $62.71
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.87
- Potential profit
- $44.87
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.7
- Potential profit
- $40.7
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or below on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.53
- Potential profit
- $40.53
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.74
- Potential profit
- $27.74
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.62
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$13.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.96
- Potential profit
- $20.96
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.01
- Potential profit
- $19.01
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.29
- Potential profit
- $18.29
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.68
- Potential profit
- $15.68
- User PnL
- -$10.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.26
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.25
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.35
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.82
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.72
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 588 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 602 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 88.9% 566.91 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 95% 525.58 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 88.4% 595.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 26?No 59% 5.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?No 50.2% 8.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?No 55% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 27?No 55.6% 7.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?No 56% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 26?No 41.9% 12.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 26?No 53% 8.75 shares