Polymarket Trader

Cape-Town

0xb4242b37f6914472abfad5c3ea2d6e86199e3b71

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $340.07
Realized PnL: $3.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $13.87K
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$80.48

Yes position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$26.96

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.25

Yes position

Will Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$54.95

Yes position

Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$236.47

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.51
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$18.89

Yes position

Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$16.38

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$49.66

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$122.44

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $18.32
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$112.04

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $305.07
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $57.27

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$32.3

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$72.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $349.63

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.72

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.4

Yes position

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.95

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.74

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.97

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.98

Yes position

Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.62

Yes position

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.32

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.5

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.74

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Over position

IK Brage vs. Ljungskile SK: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.27

Yes position

Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.55

Yes position

CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.25

No position

Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.12

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 30.8% 101.47 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.2% 47.62 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.2% 47.62 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.2% 47.8 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.1% 48.78 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4.1% 48.78 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 10% 145.3 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 26.6% 94.01 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 62.72 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Yes 6.2% 224.9 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

Yes 3% 134.83 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 28.8% 104.27 shares