No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $56.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $43.51
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $6.49
Polymarket Trader
POB1
0xb4312ab2ec8f25bc6686e726022c083f08a582ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $649.2
- Realized PnL
- $5.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $69.41
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $31.91
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $69.41
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$31.91
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $59.31
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $5.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.81
Yes position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$15.75
No position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $40.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $15.74
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.75
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$12.25
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $45.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$24.98
No position
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $16.75
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $37.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.75
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
Yes position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
N
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.63
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$20.63
No position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Yes position
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $17.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $601.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.6
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.01
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $308.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.83
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $221.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $213.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $204.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.54
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $181.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $176.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?No 99.1% 14.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Yes 99% 50 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes 8.1% 1 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes 8.9% 36 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 31.2% 2.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?Yes 99.1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?Yes 99% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13?No 1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?Yes 49.2% 93 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?No 21% 27 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?No 6% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 11?Yes 56.2% 124.6 shares