Yes position
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $506.91
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $135.18
Polymarket Trader
DOJ
@JakeTheLarp
0xb43699cbbb52520952833c10737bc43e7625bb3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.64K
- Realized PnL
- $35.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.17
- Potential profit
- $649.17
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $463.06
- Potential payout
- $469.88
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $109.76
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $178.78
- Potential payout
- $420.67
- Potential profit
- $241.89
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $178.78
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $111.03
- Potential payout
- $165.72
- Potential profit
- $54.69
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $111.03
No position
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $101.11
- Potential payout
- $103.76
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $101.11
No position
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $80.28
- Potential payout
- $85.4
- Potential profit
- $5.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $80.28
No position
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Current value
- $33.69
- Potential payout
- $43.73
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $33.69
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.94
- Potential profit
- $39.94
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
Yes position
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Patriots position
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.61
Yes position
Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.95
Yes position
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.94
Yes position
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.16
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.67
Yes position
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.64
No position
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.2
Yes position
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.05
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $522.42
Bears position
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.41
Yes position
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.13
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 95.9% 24.39 shares
- Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 95.8% 40 shares
- Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 95.3% 43.73 shares
- Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 89.7% 45.4 shares
- Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?No 98.8% 79.37 shares
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Yes 99.4% 63.92 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 54.7% 83.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 99.8% 1,520 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes 99.8% 500 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 99.9% 3,002 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.3% 66.72 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.3% 627.2 shares