Polymarket Trader

baaum

0xb439c9e1a2d63595acb7ee6008752ef6474a7418

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.26
Realized PnL: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.98
Potential profit: $349.98
User PnL: -$45.25

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $248.85
Potential profit: $238.65
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$20.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $129.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$18.9

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $30.8
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $49.2
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $62.64
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$17.15

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$41.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$26.25

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.6

Over position

Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$1.14

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.11

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.63

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.99

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.81

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.5

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.68

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.38

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.41

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.71

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.1

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.14

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.8

Yes position

Ripple above $2.30 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.24

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.07

150k position

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.17

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.77

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.49

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.94

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 43% 11.63 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 29% 51.06 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 58.7% 51.06 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 88.3% 175 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 99.7% 5.02 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 80% 100 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?

Yes 91% 109.3 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 30 shares
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

No 98.8% 400 shares
Will Trump say "America First" in Rome, GA on February 19?

Yes 55% 20 shares