Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $36.2
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Polymarket Trader
0x0Cd37bc2C0f2432ab3FE94a52c679d4429f1cEF3-1774651790798
0xb443d26a81385178a87207b10a5edaee9a6e1090
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.27
- Realized PnL
- $1.3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $8.46
- Potential payout
- $9.28
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 36.9% 3.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 4?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 4?Yes 6.8% 14.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 95.8% 4.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 95.2% 0.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 96% 0.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 95% 0.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 92.4% 0.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 62% 0.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 70% 0.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 60% 0.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 3?Yes 82% 0.7 shares