No position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $562.52
- Potential profit
- $559.15
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.62
Polymarket Trader
hspje89
0xb44bf19d4417dbf26199ad3f68ec8a2f0ef43fdb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $501.03
- Realized PnL
- $110.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.35
- Potential profit
- $131.35
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $63.71
- Potential payout
- $103.59
- Potential profit
- $39.88
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $41.71
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $76.34
- Potential payout
- $78.3
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.58
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $66.81
- Potential payout
- $68.06
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26.81
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $31.01
- Potential payout
- $62.02
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $10.01
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $44.48
- Potential payout
- $45.88
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.48
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $39.68
- Potential payout
- $41.27
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.41
- Potential profit
- $39.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $33.39
- Potential profit
- $30.22
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $27.97
- Potential payout
- $28.13
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $25.21
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $23.81
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $24.43
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $20.22
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $17.08
- Potential payout
- $17.38
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $17.09
- Potential payout
- $17.19
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.94
- Potential profit
- $16.94
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $13.68
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $13.24
- Potential payout
- $15.49
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.55
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 41.6% 2.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 88% 2.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 96.1% 3.12 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?No 96.3% 3.12 shares
- Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No 88% 9.09 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 10.5% 9.52 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?No 72% 1.39 shares
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?No 92% 2.17 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 50% 8 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 49% 98.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?No 91% 2.2 shares