Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $9.07
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $160.42
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
luckybigbet
0xb44c67c319b81ebafb3230273f8837759350d5a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.96
- Realized PnL
- $62.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $140.37
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $83.33
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $44.87
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $33.33
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $43.38
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.43
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.42
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.29
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Diana Shnaider position
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 149.25 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 169.49 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 39% 128.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 79% 5.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown 75% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETUp 80% 5.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 81% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETUp 77% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 81% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 83% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 84% 5 shares