N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Polymarket Trader
bernarmadov
@bernarmadov
0xb4545b686967d17b93467c4a76dfa616292c9b90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.3K
- Realized PnL
- $6.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $110.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $127.74
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.87
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.44
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.51
No position
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $93.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.34
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $66.85
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.54
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.69
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $47.32
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 93% 3,406.45 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 3,025.21 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 6,250 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 94.9% 11,590.19 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 89.6% 5,915.7 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 95.7% 11,184.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 93.5% 746.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 95.4% 10,483.08 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 90.8% 5,506.71 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 92.5% 5,622.72 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No 98.7% 10,386.7 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 99.3% 10,074.92 shares