No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.52K
- Potential payout
- $7.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Polymarket Trader
LeoTheGray
0xb458c3421d1ab330bedca50eb7d3dfb0af2dd89e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.28K
- Realized PnL
- $115.52
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $722.77
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $317.34
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$77.23
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.7%
- Current value
- $390.19
- Potential payout
- $568.37
- Potential profit
- $178.19
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $456.64
- Potential payout
- $468.35
- Potential profit
- $11.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $237.14
No position
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $199.05
- Potential payout
- $346.17
- Potential profit
- $147.12
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $84.18
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $71.73
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.57
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.93
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.71
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 76.9% 649.92 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.4% 568.37 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 76.9% 390.18 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 51.9% 1,927.56 shares
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No 57.8% 346.17 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 60.5% 5,785.99 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No 97.9% 175.36 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 175.51 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Yes 99% 141.07 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?Yes 77.3% 141.07 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?Yes 97.1% 113.63 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No 72% 181.25 shares